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Posted 9/8/2008 9:00:37 AM
Snapper

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Well, I agree with TP here, there is too much uncertainty here to call, its going to be a close call. If the trough picks up Ike we will be affected. If the trough doesnt pick up Ike then TX gets Ike. Its one or the other. Either way I still see it as a very strong CAT 3 or a weak CAT 4.

What gets me still is that yes the GFDL has been handling Ike well. And the GFS has Ike being picked by the trough on more model runs than not. The GFDL uses the GFS a bit in its run. So, that being said, it definitly bears watching. I hate not being for certain but 12 hours of timing either way will have a different impact.

Hopefully things will pan out better tomorrow. We really need to see where Ike will be after it exits Cuba.

Adams Lawn Care
Navarre, 850-218-8680, Steve Adams

Post #178131
Posted 9/8/2008 9:47:48 AM
Trigger

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Check out this weather site
Post #178164
Posted 9/8/2008 10:12:29 AM


Sailfish

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river rat (9/8/2008)
Check out this weather site



_______________________________________________________________________

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Post #178185
Posted 9/8/2008 10:46:13 AM


Sailfish

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The last part is what i dont like!!!!!!!!!!

Cuban radar and visible satellite imagery indicates that Ike
continues moving westward or 270/12. Track guidance remains in
good agreement that Ike will soon turn west-northwest and track
along or just south of Cuba for the next 12 to 24 hours. This
requires a slight southward shift to the official track through 36
hours. Dynamical models are still forecasting a shortwave trough
to move over the eastern United States in a couple of days
resulting in some weakening of the ridge to the north of Ike.
This is expected to cause Ike to turn temporarily to the northwest
with a reduction in forward speed. All models forecast the
shortwave to bypass Ike to the north...and are now in much better
agreement that Ike will turn slightly westward in about 3 days.
This turn is reflected in the official forecast. However...much
uncertainty remains regarding the strength of the mid-level ridge
which builds in the wake of the exiting shortwave. Accordingly...it
is still much too soon to know what portions of the Gulf Coast
could be impacted by Ike.



Pictures

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Post #178218
Posted 9/8/2008 2:14:44 PM


Mingo

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Looks like its gonna be TEXAS.   

The two best times to fish is when it's rainin' and when it ain't.

Post #178382
Posted 9/8/2008 2:26:06 PM


White Marlin

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bring on the blue water baby!!

 

Team PrimeTime
Auburn Wakeboard Team

Post #178400
Posted 9/8/2008 7:52:18 PM
Snapper

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All right folks, after a bit of a scare from Ike it truly seems that TX will get all it can handle from Ike. It looks like Corpus Christie or the ever loving hurricane town of Galveston will have to deal with Ike. Ike will restrengthen into a CAT 3 or possibly a weak CAT 4 for its impending TX landfall.

The shortwave of low pressure that will be transiting the US will be moving a bit too fast to have anything to do with Ike. It looks like High pressure has saved us once yet again.

Ike still bears watching as we all know mother nature has her way.


Adams Lawn Care
Navarre, 850-218-8680, Steve Adams
Post #178656
Posted 9/8/2008 8:04:42 PM
Trigger

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weatherman (9/8/2008)
All right folks, after a bit of a scare from Ike it truly seems that TX will get all it can handle from Ike. It looks like Corpus Christie or the ever loving hurricane town of Galveston will have to deal with Ike. Ike will restrengthen into a CAT 3 or possibly a weak CAT 4 for its impending TX landfall.

The shortwave of low pressure that will be transiting the US will be moving a bit too fast to have anything to do with Ike. It looks like High pressure has saved us once yet again.

Ike still bears watching as we all know mother nature has her way.

What happened to the 70 some odd % "that anywhere from Mobile to Ft. Walton" is going to get this?  That post vanished.

Post #178664
Posted 9/8/2008 8:11:09 PM
Sailfish

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weatherman (9/8/2008)
All right folks, after a bit of a scare from Ike it truly seems that TX will get all it can handle from Ike. It looks like Corpus Christie or the ever loving hurricane town of Galveston will have to deal with Ike. Ike will restrengthen into a CAT 3 or possibly a weak CAT 4 for its impending TX landfall.

The shortwave of low pressure that will be transiting the US will be moving a bit too fast to have anything to do with Ike. It looks like High pressure has saved us once yet again.

Ike still bears watching as we all know mother nature has her way.

Do you think the wind will be worse than it was in Gustav? I'm in the process of pulling all of my crab traps (about 60 left in the water) out of the water, but if it isn't going to be as bad as Gustav I can leave them in.

Post #178671
Posted 9/8/2008 9:01:09 PM
Snapper

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sailsunfurled (9/8/2008)
weatherman (9/8/2008)
All right folks, after a bit of a scare from Ike it truly seems that TX will get all it can handle from Ike. It looks like Corpus Christie or the ever loving hurricane town of Galveston will have to deal with Ike. Ike will restrengthen into a CAT 3 or possibly a weak CAT 4 for its impending TX landfall.

The shortwave of low pressure that will be transiting the US will be moving a bit too fast to have anything to do with Ike. It looks like High pressure has saved us once yet again.

Ike still bears watching as we all know mother nature has her way.


What happened to the 70 some odd % "that anywhere from Mobile to Ft. Walton" is going to get this? That post vanished.


Actually it was 75 percent, and the post is still there that I can see. I dont edit my posts unless I have been drinking and really jack up some spelling or something. And you can pretty much stop worrying about Ike, not going to be an issue for us. Definitly a good day to be wrong.


Adams Lawn Care
Navarre, 850-218-8680, Steve Adams
Post #178719
Posted 9/8/2008 9:02:47 PM
Snapper

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P-cola_Native (9/8/2008)
weatherman (9/8/2008)
All right folks, after a bit of a scare from Ike it truly seems that TX will get all it can handle from Ike. It looks like Corpus Christie or the ever loving hurricane town of Galveston will have to deal with Ike. Ike will restrengthen into a CAT 3 or possibly a weak CAT 4 for its impending TX landfall.

The shortwave of low pressure that will be transiting the US will be moving a bit too fast to have anything to do with Ike. It looks like High pressure has saved us once yet again.

Ike still bears watching as we all know mother nature has her way.


Do you think the wind will be worse than it was in Gustav? I'm in the process of pulling all of my crab traps (about 60 left in the water)out of the water, but if it isn't going to beas bad asGustav I can leave them in.


I dont think we will see much effect here at all. I would let em soak and catch them crabs. Got any Jimmies you dont need??


Adams Lawn Care
Navarre, 850-218-8680, Steve Adams
Post #178720
Posted 9/8/2008 9:13:00 PM
Sailfish

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weatherman (9/8/2008)
P-cola_Native (9/8/2008)
weatherman (9/8/2008)
All right folks, after a bit of a scare from Ike it truly seems that TX will get all it can handle from Ike. It looks like Corpus Christie or the ever loving hurricane town of Galveston will have to deal with Ike. Ike will restrengthen into a CAT 3 or possibly a weak CAT 4 for its impending TX landfall.

The shortwave of low pressure that will be transiting the US will be moving a bit too fast to have anything to do with Ike. It looks like High pressure has saved us once yet again.

Ike still bears watching as we all know mother nature has her way.


Do you think the wind will be worse than it was in Gustav? I'm in the process of pulling all of my crab traps (about 60 left in the water)out of the water, but if it isn't going to beas bad asGustav I can leave them in.


I dont think we will see much effect here at all. I would let em soak and catch them crabs. Got any Jimmies you dont need??

You should have caught me yesterday. I cooked up a mess and was giving them away. Some of the other forum members got some.

I'll set you some aside next time I get a load that isn't going to the fish house. The jimmies just showed up thick in the last couple of day, but they felt a little light. Thanks for the info!

Post #178727
Posted 9/8/2008 9:18:11 PM
Snapper

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Yeah, I heard the crabs were running good right now, I crabbed a bit last year but someone was stealing crabs out of my pots, had em on a pier. I got fed up with it and quit crabbing. Little rascals are tasty though. A lot of work to get a good eat on but nothing a NASCAR beer cant cure.

Adams Lawn Care
Navarre, 850-218-8680, Steve Adams
Post #178731
Posted 9/8/2008 9:27:59 PM
Sailfish

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They steal mine too. It really bugs me when they steal the traps.

Stone crab season is coming up in October, and they are everywhere. I probably threw back 40 keeper claws today. They are easier to pick than Blue crabs.

I just hope the storm holds west.

Post #178734
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